NBA Best Bet – March 15th, 2022

NBA Playoffs

I lost on the Sixers at home yesterday when they couldn’t hold on to their early lead dropping my NBA Best Bet record to 19-9 (67.9%) for the season. Sign up to my Newsletter to get all my Best Bets in the NBA, NFL & UFC delivered directly to your inbox by 1 pm EST daily for just $20 per month with new subscribers getting their first two weeks free. Unsubscribed readers can still enjoy my free picks released regularly during the season or my best bets released one hour before game time.

Best Bet: Pistons (+13) @ Heat $$

The Pistons have not lost a game ATS since February 14th in Washington. That is a span of 11 straight games. There were a couple of pushes in that run depending on which line you use. Regardless that is a truly remarkable streak of which you can goes entire NBA seasons without witnessing. Despite that this incredible run, the line maker continues to post these huge lines in favour of the Pistons.

Yes, the Heat are the number one team in the eastern conference right now, but this is just too many points fo me to pass up. I see this matchup falling within the (+13) spread a high percentage of the time.

I like the Heat and the way the are currently playing, but I am not convinced they should b considered top contenders in the east. Perhaps my biggest criticism for Miami is they are perhaps too well balanced. You can only ever play 5 guys at a time so having quality players 8 through 12 isn’t always helpful. They are blessed with an incredibly deep bench but perhaps do not have enough elite talent in the starting lineup. The obvious is Jimmy Butler, but he too has not been shooting well from mid-range and good defences are starting to exploit this. Becausee of this, they may have difficulty in the playoffs with teams like Boston and Toronto.

I also coach live poker players, helping them win more often.  Of course, you can follow more of my NBA writings right here at Last Word on Sports or find me on Twitter to stay up to date on all my latest blogs and helpful tips to grow your bankroll.

Legend $ – one-unit bet, $$ – two-unit bet, $$$ – three-unit bet

NBA Odds provided by Odds Shark. Posted lines are of writing time.

Picture of Jason Grad

Jason Grad

Helping serious betters and collectors win more often and grow their portfolios. Follow me on Twitter for my daily sports picks and NFT portfolio management advice.

Recent Posts

Sign up for My Newsletter

Exclusive handicapping reports right to your inbox.