Free NFL Picks – Week 17


NFL: Bengals (+4.5) Vs Chiefs $

This is the most important game for the Bengals franchise in many years. The Bengals have not made the playoffs since 2015 and they haven’t won a playoff game in 30 years. With a win they can clinch the AFC North and set themselves up the break their playoff drought.

Joe Burrow has shown he has broad shoulders and is ready to lead his team to playoff success. Many people in the media are saying that he is actually a better QB right now in his second NFL season than his opposing QB this weekend, Patrick Mahomes. That is big time praise and pressure.

This is an important game for the Chiefs as well as they can pretty much wrap the number one seed with a win. But this will not be an easy game against a highly motivated Bengals team. I look for Cincinnati to pick up this huge win or at least keep the game to one score and cover this home dog spread.

NFL: Colts (-7.5) Vs Raiders $$

I love betting these games with two teams moving in opposing directions.

The Colts continue to roll and move up my power rankings with a nice road win in Arizona last week. While the Raiders did win last week, but did not look good against the Broncos. The Colts could clinch a playoff spot with a win and a little help in this game. The Raiders haven’t played a good game in about two months, despite their 8-7 record.

Derrick Carr has been the best player for the Raiders, but he is suffering with a rib injury so Marcus Mariota may get the start in this one. It should be another game with Johnathon Taylor going for 100+ and the Colts controlling this game from start to finish.

NFL: Jaguars (+16.5) @ Patriots $

Yes the Patriots are a much better team than the Jags and they should win easily. But the Pats are not a team that are built beat opponents by three or more scores. If they do build up a lead in this matchup, I do not expect Bill Belichick to keep his foot on the throat of his opponent. He is more likely to be content slowing the game down and suffocating his opponent with ball control and defence.

In order to cover 17 points, the Patriot defence would likely need several turnovers. With Trevor Lawrence under center for the Jags, this isn’t out of the question at all. But I feel confident enough taking the big points in this matchup.

For all my NFL & NBA picks and analysis be sure to check my Daily Picks page regularly.

NFL odds and analysis provided by Odds Shark.

Picture of Jason Grad

Jason Grad

Helping serious betters and collectors win more often and grow their portfolios. Follow me on Twitter for my daily sports picks and NFT portfolio management advice.

Recent Posts

Sign up for My Newsletter

Exclusive handicapping reports right to your inbox.