Free NFL Picks – Week 12, 2021


NFL: Jaguars (+2) Vs Falcons $

I bet the Jaguars last week and they disappointment me again, but I still feel they are. undervalued. I am willing to give them one more chance especially this week as they play a Falcons team that are actually worse than they are.

The Falcons have been absolutely horrible in their last couple of games losing 43-3 and 25-0. They are 4-6, but this team is much worse than their record. The Falcons cannot run the ball and are prone to giving up big turnovers. That’s a bad combination for any football team.

I’ll take the better team playing at home getting points.

NFL: Packers (+2) Vs Rams $

I don’t understand why the Rams are favoured in this matchup. They have been good this season, but certainly not dominant. The passing game lead by Matthew Stafford looks impressive on paper, but is far too inconsistent for my liking. Besides, passing yardage is not a good predictor of winning percentage. Turnover is always the number one variable followed by rushing yards. So I am not yet convinced the Rams are Super Bowl contenders until they can show me more than just throwing every down.

Aaron Rodgers didn’t practice again this week but that does not really concern me. For my money he is still the second best QB in the NFL. The QB position is more than just passing yards as I said. It also involves game management, vision and adjustments. Now you add home field advantage at Lambeau field in November and a bonus couple of points, I’ll take it.

Just as above, the better team getting two points at home. I see a pattern.

I am still at .500 this NFL season at 48-48. But is in NCAAF where I am still crushing with over 60% winner for the season. Make sure to check my Daily Picks page regularly to get the rest free NFL & NCAAF picks.

NFL Odds and analysis provided by Odds Shark.

Jason Grad

Jason Grad

Helping serious betters and collectors win more often and grow their portfolios. Follow me on Twitter for my daily sports picks and NFT portfolio management advice.

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