Free NFL Picks – TNF Week 8, 2021


NFL: Packers (+6.5) @ Cardinals $

Cardinals remain the only undefeated team in the NFL after 7 weeks, which sets up nicely against them in week 8. Despite their obvious run of good play, I still have them power rated 4th in the NFL behind BUF, DAL, & TB.

Undefeated teams more than mid way through the season are notoriously bad ATS, so I see no reason to go against that trend in this matchup. I doubt the Cards are actually 3-4 points better than the Packers although most power rating would say as much (including my own). If you had seen the line for this game in the preseason, it likely favoured GB by (-3) give or take. That is a huge 10 point line adjustment in just two months.

The biggest point not to forget here is the Packers are also 6-1! They started the season with a blow out loss to NO, and since then have taken care of business with solid wins in every game. They will be without the services of Devonte Adams for at least one game due to a highly contagious flu bug, but I think they can survive one game without him and his absence will already be accounted for in the point spread.

The disadvantage of being undefeated is that you will always get every team’s best game with that target on your back. GB’s best game is pretty good even with a couple WRs out, so I expect a one possession game late in the fourth quarter. I’m happy to grab 6.5 points here and if you wait until kickoff, you may even snag 7.

Survivor Pick: Chiefs – Previously (Rams, Packers, Broncos, Bucs, Bills, Colts, Cardinals)

Be sure to check my Daily Picks page for all my weekends NFL/NCAAF picks for free. Don’t forget UFC 267 is this weekend as well and I will have my predictions for that card as well.

NFL odds and analysis provided by Odds Shark.

Jason Grad

Jason Grad

Helping serious betters and collectors win more often and grow their portfolios. Follow me on Twitter for my daily sports picks and NFT portfolio management advice.

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