Free NFL Picks – MNF Week 3, 2021


NFL: Cowboys (-3.5) Vs Eagles $$

I love betting home teams on MNF and I like the Cowboys even more so in this matchup. My spreadsheet numbers actually rate the Eagles as four points better than the Cowboys, but I can assure you they are not a better team than the Cowboys.

The Eagles took advantage of a very favourable matchup against a bad Falcons team in week 1. Jalen Hurts went off in the first game going 27/35 for 264 yards, 3 TDs, and 62 yards rushing. His next game against the 49ers did not go nearly as well. SF managed to shut down the Eagles QB in week 2 making their offence look bad. This leads me to the simple conclusion that if you are able to shut down Hurts, the Eagles are not a dangerous team.

Hurts essentially represents the focal point of the Eagles running attack. Very few NFL quarterbacks can manage such a burden successfully and I am frankly not ready to anoint Jalen Hurts as the third coming of Lamar Jackson or Micheal Vick. Any NFL defensive coordinator worth his money should be able to scheme a game plan to eliminate a running attack of a QB with a below average arm and essentially no running game.

Dak Prescott has played fairly well so far this season in two tough road games in TB and SD. I expect a big game from him in the season home debut and for the Cowboys to put up 31+ points against the Eagles.

The Cowboys at home on MNF should usually be a good wager on its own, but I like this selection even more having to lay only (-3.5) and not 7 to 10 points were this line should truly be. I will make it my second double play of the week having won my first on the Rams.

I had a great NFL week thus far going 6-2. It is half time of the SNF game and I also have the trailing 49ers, so I’ll call it 6-3 and 14-11 or 56% for the season so far. Make sure you check back here regularly on my Daily Picks page for all your NFL/NCAAF & CFL picks all for free.

NFL Odds and analysis provided by Odds Shark.

Jason Grad

Jason Grad

Helping serious betters and collectors win more often and grow their portfolios. Follow me on Twitter for my daily sports picks and NFT portfolio management advice.

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