Free NFL Picks – MNF Week 11, 2021


NFL: Giants (+11) @ Buccaneers $

Tom Brady looked a mere mortal throwing 2 INTs in each of his last two games. If he continues that trend the remainder of the season, the Buccaneers will miss the playoffs. This is a big number (-11) even for a Monday night home team. I don’t see how such a big is justified for a team on a two game skid. The Buccaneers are not as good as they were last year and dare I say they may be getting old.

I am still of the opinion that Daniel Jones is under-rated, or at least overly criticized. His play is improving and the turnovers are down this season. In a pinch, he is also decent runner. He’ll never be Tom Brady, but I don’t think even Tom is playing like Tom Brady this year.

I would have made this line around (-7) or maybe (-7.5). TB is still the better team, but the back door cover is in play here with a Giants team that has big play potential and are looking better as the season progresses.

It was a tough weekend card, but I am still above water for the season at 47-45 (51.1%) ATS in the NFL. But I crushed the NCAAF card again this week for 20-9 and I am now 119-69 (63.3%) and +40.2 units for the season. All my picks are documented and released free of charge prior to the games so make sure you are checking my Daily Picks page regularly.

NFL Odds and analysis provided by Odds Shark.

Jason Grad

Jason Grad

Helping serious betters and collectors win more often and grow their portfolios. Follow me on Twitter for my daily sports picks and NFT portfolio management advice.

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