Free NCAAF Picks – Afternoon Week 12


NCAAF: Notre Dame (-15.5) Vs Georgia Tech $$$

The Fighting Irish are absolutely getting stronger as the season progresses and have now positioned themselves into playoff contention once again. They need to finish against two weaker teams, Georgia Tech and Stanford and get just a couple key games outside their control to go their way and they will be in. The ESPN playoff predictor currently rates ND chances of making the playoff at 46%, which is a number that earlier in the season would have seemed unattainable.

Notre Dame is not normally the type of team I am comfortable laying big numbers on, but they have dominated their two most recent opponents Navy and Virginia in a very impressive manner. The Irish defence has molded into a top 5 unit and I just cannot see see how Georgia Tech will manage to pick up even 13 points which makes the (-15.5) line very manageable.

The most valuable asset this team may possess is simply confidence that as long as they take care of their own business, things should fall into place for them as their strength of schedule rivals many SEC teams. I expect another dominant victory in this matchup against a Georgia Tech team that has shown few signs of life this season.

NCAAF: Minnesota (-7) @ Indiana $$$

I have been betting on the Gophers all season and I see no reason to stop in this matchup. They boast a powerful running attack that dominates the line of scrimmage. Their 6-4 record does not fully capture how good this team is as they dropped a couple of close games against inferior opponents.

The Hoosiers have played horrendous football lately and are easily the worst team in the Big 10 right now. The 38-3 trouncing to the hands of the Scarlett Knights last week was absolutely embarrassing and a testament to the fact this team has lost hope for the season.

I will make this my second premium pick of the week ($$$).

NCAAF: Florida (-8) @ Missouri $$

The Gators have been the most wildly unpredictable team in NCCAF this season. One week they nearly knock off Alabama, and the next getting blown out by South Carolina and even giving up 52 points to the Bulldogs. Yes that is the Samford Bulldogs, not Georgia.

The truth is however, the Gators have a massive talent differential over the Missouri Tigers. Both teams are 5-5, but there should be no illusion as to who the better team is. Talent does not equate to wins, but it does predict success. Public opinion of the Gators will never be lower than it is right after their two most recent performances.

As a result, the line for this matchup should be much higher than just 8 points. There is always the possibility of Florida throwing out another stanky performance like either of their past two games, but I still like the value on the far more talented Gator team in this matchup.

NCAAF: Baylor (-1) @ Kansas St $$

Baylor showed their quality last week by utterly dominated the then undefeated and #8 ranked Oklahoma. I expect the Bears to continue building on that high quality win last week and get a victory against weaker competition in the Jayhawks.

Kansas St have won four games in a row, all against teams below them in the standings but have struggled against the better team in the Big 12. Baylor certainly qualifies as tough competition, so I am not convinced they can get a win here even at home.

I had another hugely profitable week in NCAAF going 17-8 last weekend including nailing both of my premium plays on PITT and Miss St. This is another loaded ticket so check back on my Daily Picks page for my late picks this week.

NCAAF 2021 season results, 99-60 (62.3%) +29.5 units. All results are documented and released free of charge prior to kickoff.

NCAAF odds and analysis provided by Odds Shark.

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Jason Grad

Helping serious betters and collectors win more often and grow their portfolios. Follow me on Twitter for my daily sports picks and NFT portfolio management advice.

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