Bonus UFC Prediction, April 30th, 2022


The NBA Playoffs take a day today off with none of the round one series going to seven games. The Grizzlies pulled off another 4th quarter comeback last night in Minnesota improving my NBA playoffs picks to 12-7 (63.1%).

UFC: M Vera (+106) Vs R Font $

Rob Font came in 2.5 lbs overweight at the weigh-ins yesterday. That may not sound like a serious problem, but 2.5 pounds for fighters in the UFC bantamweight division is actually a significant oversight. It is the first time in Font’s career that he has failed to make weight and he will be forfeiting 20% of his purse for the fight as a result.

It is my standard position to fade any fighter making this making because it is often indicative of a larger problem. At the very least it is a lack of attention to detail during the training camp. Worst case scenario it points to a lack of conditioning that could have dire consequences in the fight. If Font did not train properly, he could experience a lack of energy, particularly in the later rounds. This UFC fight is scheduled for five rounds which may make the problem even worse.

Both fighters had their last defeat against Jose Aldo, but really this should be a very competitive matchup. I will take a chance on the slight underdog who seems to have already won the first round.


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I also coach live poker players, helping them win more often.  Of course, you can follow more of my NBA writings right here at Last Word on Sports or find me on Twitter to stay up to date on all my latest blogs and helpful tips to grow your bankroll. NBA Playoffs Odds are provided by CloudBet as of writing time.

Legend $ – ‘one-star’ regular bet $$, ‘two-star’ best bet $$$, ‘three-star’ premium bet

Jason Grad

Jason Grad

Helping serious betters and collectors win more often and grow their portfolios. Follow me on Twitter for my daily sports picks and NFT portfolio management advice.

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