NCAAF: NC St (-3) @ Miami $$
I rolled with the Wolf Pack last week and they did not disappoint getting a solid win in Boston. This week they make another road trip to play another bad team in Miami. They remain in contention for the ACC title with just a single blemish against a tough Miss St team. The defence has looked particularly good and should be rated top 10 in NCAAF.
Miami is still looking for their first quality win of the season. They have come close a couple time the last couple weeks against Virginia and UNN but still cannot break through. Their defence remains one of the worst in NCAAF and doesn’t to be improving. They got blown out by BAMA early but the Wolf Pack will be the best team they have seen since.
This should be another easy win easy for NC St. I got my bet in at (-3) but I still like it it at (-3.5).
NCAAF: TCU (-4.5) Vs W Virginia $$
It’s been an up and down season so far for the Frogs and they have been competitive in all their games with the exception of Oklahoma last week. I like their balanced offence that runs the ball effectively and is scoring points in bunches. Unfortunately their defence is as bad as the offence is good.
The Mountaineers looked competitive early in the season, but have been sliding steadily down my power ratings and now sit near the bottom of the BIG 12. The offence is struggling and I just do not have faith they can keep up this week. In order to win or even cover, they are likely going to need 30+, and I am not confident the can do it even against a bad TCU defence. West Virginia makes their second consecutive trip to Texas this week which isn’t going to help with their focus (why is West Virginia in the BIG 12 again?).
This should be a 37-23 type of score with TCU getting a solid win and cover.
NCAAF: Notre Dame (-6.5) Vs USC $
I faded the Irish a few times already this season, but this is the first chance I found to bet on them. They play a boring style of football, good defence, well coached and few turnovers. It’s not pretty, but it is generally effective as their record (5-1) indicates. Their lone loss came against the #2 ranked Cincinnati.
USC have been the opposite of consistent. They lost as 17 point favourites against Stanford, but beat up on a couple of weaker teams in Colorado and Wash St. Their passing attack looks great at times, but is prone to turning the ball over which could easily be the difference this matchup.
Well timed sacks and a couple turnovers, mixed with a conservative offensive strategy should be enough for Notre Dame to find a double digit win.